怎样看懂彩票走势图


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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Election Oracle

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

ElectionOracle

Sunday, February 16, 2020

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By: Graham_Summers

Ignore the naysayers, the Trump administration has successful engineered an economic boom.

I was recently on Cheddar discussing the markets when the anchor raised the fact that the Trump administration failed to achieve its economic goals.

This is false.

First and foremost, the economic data put out in the U.S. has become EXTREMELY politically biased.

The reason for this is simple, many of the people who compile this information are Democrats who hate the President (the bulk of Government employees live and work in Northern Virginia/ D.C. which went 92% for Hillary Clinton in 2016).

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, January 29, 2020

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By: Peter_Schiff

怎样看懂彩票走势图In the decades that I have been listening to politicians clumsily trying to explain the economy there has never been a period, with the possible exception of the early Reagan years, in which major party leaders were able to present a solid grasp of economic principles. But I have never seen a time in which the levels of ignorance coming from those in leadership positions is so extreme.

The state of affairs can be illustrated by two interviews last week by Donald Trump and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for the Democrats, the two undisputed leaders of our major political parties. Both put forth visions this week that are illogical, incoherent, and that completely ignore both data and experience. But these leaders are putting out beacons under which the vast majority of Americans are congregating. It's worse than the blind leading the blind, and it bodes very poorly for our ability to deal with the next economic crisis, which I believe is certainly slouching towards Washington, waiting to be born.

 


ElectionOracle

Friday, December 13, 2019

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怎样看懂彩票走势图By: N_Walayat

According to the pollsters such as Yougov, the Lib Dem's were supposed to hoover up seats in REMAIN constituencies from at least Labour if not the Tories. But that's not what happened! They FAILED to win seats where they were ahead in the polls such as in the Sheffield Hallam constituency. Even Jo Swinson the Lib Deam leader lost her seat to the SNP! Resulting in the Lib Dems dropping from 20 MP's to just 11!

Find out why in this precient video posted the day BEFORE polling day for why the Lib Dem's had burned their support in many consituencies across Britain, such as in Sheffield Hallam where the polls said they were ahead by 4% i.e. 36% to 32% Labour. Instead Labour held onto the seat by 700 votes.

 


ElectionOracle

Thursday, December 12, 2019

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By: Nadeem_Walayat

Over 50,000 polling stations are open today across the UK to cope with the expected demand from an estimated 34 million voters out of a total of approx 49 million eligible to vote. With all eyes turned to the next big event of election night, the BBC EXIT POLL to follow within minutes of the polls closing at 10pm. Which unlike the multitudes of daily opinion polls that have been all over the place during the past month, the exit poll should provide an accurate gauge of what is the probable outcome of the general election some 5 hours before enough seats have been counted to make the actual result clear.

 


ElectionOracle

Thursday, December 12, 2019

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By: Nadeem_Walayat

怎样看懂彩票走势图Here's a quick summary of my general election seats per party forecasts ahead of the polls opening.

  • Conservatives 326
  • Labour 241
  • SNP 40
  • Lib Dems 17

 


ElectionOracle

Thursday, December 12, 2019

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怎样看懂彩票走势图By: Nadeem_Walayat

FINAL SEATS PER POLITICAL PARTY FORECAST

This is my final seats per political party forecast based on extensive analysis published at the market ijr65qh.cn website over the past 3 weeks a fraction of which was posted to youtube.

怎样看懂彩票走势图The whole of this analysis was who support my work that includes my final seats forecast at 12pm on the 11th of December 2019.

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

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怎样看懂彩票走势图By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's the economy stupid! The party in government tends to lose elections 怎样看懂彩票走势图to the opposition on the basis of where the economy stands at the time of the general election. So whilst Boris Johnson's "Get Brexit Done" headline grabbing mantra sounds like it could deliver the Tories enough votes to win. However, if the economy is on the slide then all slogans and promises will be ignored, much as was the case for Theresa May's 2017 all about getting Brexit done election campaign.

怎样看懂彩票走势图So the focus of this analysis is where the economy in terms of Inflation stands and it's direction of travel relative to where economy stood in the run up to the June 2017 General Election as one of the 9 key election forecasting lessons learned from the outcome of the 2017 general elections.

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

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怎样看懂彩票走势图By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my final analysis of a 6 part series that aims to apply lessons learned from the 2017 general election towards a forecast that at it's core is based on my UK house prices momentum analysis that was first made available to Patrons on the 24th of November 2019.

Tory Seats projection analysis to date :

  1. UK House Prices 322 - (24th November 2019)
  2. Manifestos Bribes 311 - (30th November 2019)
  3. Economy 324 - (4th December 2019)
  4. Marginal Seats 326 - (7th December 2019)
  5. Social Mood (patrons) - (9th December 2019)
  6. Final Forecast (patrons) - (11th December 2019)

怎样看懂彩票走势图Analysis to date averages to 3xx Tory seats which shows little deviation against my core house prices based forecast of 322 tory seats.

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

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By: Nadeem_Walayat

怎样看懂彩票走势图The 2019 December 12th general election will be won and lost in the marginal seats that is be the focus of my fourth in-depth analysis in this series that aims to fine tune my core election forecast based on UK house prices as the most accurate predictor of UK General Elections.

First a recap of my seats projections analysis to date:

  1. UK House Prices 322 - (24th November 2019)
  2. Manifestos Bribes 311 - (30th November 2019)
  3. Economy 324 - (4th December 2019)
  4. Marginal Seats (patrons) ( (7th December 2019)
  5. Social Mood (patrons) ( (9th December 2019)
  6. Final Forecast (patrons) - (11th December 2019)

 


ElectionOracle

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

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怎样看懂彩票走势图By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's the economy stupid! The party in government tends to lose elections to the opposition on the basis of where the economy stands at the time of the general election. So whilst Boris Johnson's "Get Brexit Done" headline grabbing mantra sounds like it could deliver the Tories enough votes to win. However, if the economy is on the slide then all slogans and promises will be ignored, much as was the case for Theresa May's 2017 all about getting Brexit done election campaign.

So the focus of this analysis is where the economy stands and it's direction of travel relative to where economy stood in the run up to the June 2017 General Election as one of the 9 key election forecasting lessons learned from the outcome of the 2017 general elections.

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, December 10, 2019

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By: Nadeem_Walayat

YouGov is set to update their MRP methodology based election polling seats forecast at 10pm today. Their existing forecast as of 27th November is for Boris Johnson to win a majority of 68 on 359 seats, whilst Labour drops from 242 to 211. As apparently Yougov accurately called the June 2017 General Election! We'll that's what Yougov and the mainstream press keep iterating and thus the obsession with their MRP forecast for 2019.

A quick search reveals - "As the dust of the general election settles, many commentators are still stating they didn’t see it coming. But we did." , Yougov.

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, December 10, 2019

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By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's the economy stupid! The party in government tends to lose elections to the opposition on the basis of where the economy stands at the time of the general election. So whilst Boris Johnson's "Get Brexit Done" headline grabbing mantra sounds like it could deliver the Tories enough votes to win. However, if the economy is on the slide then all slogans and promises will be ignored, much as was the case for Theresa May's 2017 all about getting Brexit done election campaign.

怎样看懂彩票走势图So the focus of this analysis is where the economy stands and it's direction of travel relative to where economy stood in the run up to the June 2017 General Election as one of the 9 key election forecasting lessons learned from the outcome of the 2017 general election.

 


ElectionOracle

Tuesday, December 10, 2019

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By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is my third video in a series that looks a the Tory and Labour Manifesto's where my first manifesto video covered the degree to which each party was going to bribe the electorate. And the second focused on the debt dynamics of whether Britain can afford to go on a debt fuelled spending spree given current Debt to GDP of 90%.

 


ElectionOracle

Monday, December 09, 2019

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怎样看懂彩票走势图By: Nadeem_Walayat

"Ooh Jeremy Corbyn" vs "Get Brexit Done"

Everything's always obvious in hindsight and so it was for the 2017 General Election campaign. We might all have seen it on the TV, but it just failed to register with most. What am I talking about? It is the phenomena that was Jeremy Corbyn or JC! In 2017 we saw it in his speeches, we saw it in his interviews and we definitely saw it at his mass rallies! Ooh Jeremy Corbyn, Ooh Jeremy Corbyn! Some 2.5 years on "Ooh Jeremy Corbyn" may have become a little bit stale but you can still hear it humming in background.

怎样看懂彩票走势图Even fellow Blairites who literally hated most things Jeremy Corbyn stood for i.e. his 1970's style socialist ideology could not fathom the amount of interest that he was generating as JC was EVANGELICAL! So is those close to him could not understand what was going on then what hope did those who never met him in person have.

 


ElectionOracle

Monday, December 09, 2019

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By: Nadeem_Walayat

This article continues from (30 Nov 2019 - Labour vs Tory Manifesto Debt Fuelled Voter Bribes Impact on UK General Election怎样看懂彩票走势图) concluding in Tory seats forecast as a consquecne of the Labour vs Tory manifestos.

怎样看懂彩票走势图However, Maniesto impacts analysis is part of a series of pieces of in-depth analysis that were first made available to Patrons who support my work.

 


ElectionOracle

Monday, December 09, 2019

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怎样看懂彩票走势图By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 2 of 2 of my UK housing market analysis as consistently the single most accurate predictor of UK general elections. Where part 1 covered how house prices forecast the previous general elections including lessons learned from 2017 (UK House Prices Predicting the Outcome of General Election 2019). And now this analysis converts current UK house prices monentum into a Tory election seats forecast for the 12th December 2019 general election.

 


ElectionOracle

Monday, December 09, 2019

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怎样看懂彩票走势图By: Nadeem_Walayat

怎样看懂彩票走势图The 2019 December 12th general election will be won and lost in the marginal seats that is be the focus of my fourth in-depth analysis in this series that aims to fine tune my core election forecast based on UK house prices as the most accurate predictor of UK General Elections.

怎样看懂彩票走势图First a recap of my seats projections analysis to date:

  1. UK House Prices 322 )
  2. Manifestos Bribes xxx
  3. Economy xxx )
  4. Marginal Seats

The top 30 or so marginal Labour and Conservative seats will determine the outcome of this General Election just as they had for the 2017 General Election that all of the pollsters and pundits got so badly wrong i.e. instead of Tories winning most of Labours most marginal seats it was Labour who won most of the Tories most marginal seats.

 


ElectionOracle

Sunday, December 08, 2019

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怎样看懂彩票走势图By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 2 of 2 of my UK housing market analysis as consistently the single most accurate predictor of UK general elections. Where part 1 covered how house prices forecast the previous general elections including lessons learned from 2017 (UK House Prices Predicting the Outcome of General Election 2019). And now this analysis converts current UK house prices monentum into a Tory election seats forecast for the 12th December 2019 general election.

However, note that this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work on the 24th of November 2019 - . So for immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts 怎样看懂彩票走势图then do consider for just $3 per month. .

 


ElectionOracle

Sunday, December 08, 2019

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By: N_Walayat

At the 2017 General Election Labour surprised all including themselves by winning Sheffield Hallam, and ejecting the former Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg from Parliament.

Unfortunately for Labour Jared O' Mara turned out to be a total disaster, heralding 2 years of chaos and failure to represent the constituents of Sheffield Hallam that included being suspended from the party, all at a time when the local population was in open revolt to the insane policies emanating out of the city council.

怎样看懂彩票走势图And so now 2 1/2 years on the Lib Dems look set to retake the Sheffield Hallam seat form a chaotic Labour party. Especially given the close result in 2017. That saw Labour winning the seat by just over 1000 votes.

 


ElectionOracle

Saturday, December 07, 2019

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By: Nadeem_Walayat

怎样看懂彩票走势图Labour under Jeremy Corbyn is literally promising voters everything under the sun! Scrapping Universal Credit, Giving all public sector workers a 5% Labour pay hike bribe, Free personal care fore the elderly, scrapping of tuition fees, £30billion Increase in annual NHS spending!

怎样看懂彩票走势图All of which translates into an increase in government day to day spending of about £80 billion, or 10% per year!

AND additional 'investment' spending of £55 billion a year. For a total annual increase in spending of £135 billion, more than 2.5X the tax bribes of 2017! And that's EXCLUDING Labours plan for mass nationalisation. a bill for which runs into the hundreds of billions!

 


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